Breaking Down My 2017 Best Guess Recruiting Class Predictions

Now that the 2017 recruiting cycle is all but finished, I’ve once again put together the full breakdown of my Best Guess Recruiting Class predictions to see exactly how good I am at reading tea leaves. The breakdown includes a month-by-month analysis, how early and how many times I had the eventual signees listed, and a wide array of other facts about my class predictions.

Check out how I did with my 2017 Michigan recruiting class predictions:

Percentages

*decommits not included

March 2015
- 8/27
- 26%
April 2015
- 7/26 (1 decommit)
- 27%
May 2015
- 10/29 (1 decommit)
- 34%
June 2015
- 9/24 (1 decommit)
- 38%
July 2015
- 10/25 (1 decommit)
- 40%
August 2015
- 12/26 (1 decommit)
- 46%
September 2015
- 12/23 (1 decommit)
- 52%
November 2015
- 13/25 (1 decommit)
- 52%
February 2016
- 12/26 (1 decommit)
- 46%
March 2016
- 13/25 (1 decommit)
- 52%
April 2016
- 16/29 (2 decommits)
- 55%
May 2016
- 18/30 (3 decommits)
- 60%
June 2016
- 21/30 (4 decommits)
- 70%
July 2016
- 22/31 (4 decommits)
- 71%
August 2016
- 23/32 (4 decommits)
- 72%
September 2016
- 23/34 (4 decommits)
- 68%
October 2016
- 27/35 (2 decommits)
- 77%
November 2016
- 27/35 (2 decommits)
- 77%
December 2016
- 28/33 (1 decommit)
- 85%
January 25th, 2017
- 29/31
- 94%
January 31st, 2017
- 30/30
- 100%

Commitments

QB Dylan McCaffrey
- Commitment Date: February 16th, 2016
- First on List: March 2015
- Times Listed: 22/22
- Percentage: 100%
RB O’Maury Samuels
- Commitment Date: April 4th, 2016
- First on List: April 2016
- Times Listed: 11/22
- Percentage: 50%
RB Kurt Taylor
- Commitment Date: October 16th, 2015
- First on List: August 2015
- Times Listed: 17/22
- Percentage: 77%
FB/LB Ben Mason
- Commitment Date: May 3rd, 2016
- First on List: May 2016
- Times Listed: 10/22
- Percentage: 45%
WR Donovan Peoples-Jones
- Commitment Date: December 15th, 2016
- First on List: March 2015
- Times Listed: 22/22
- Percentage: 100%
WR Tarik Black
- Commitment Date: December 14th, 2016
- First on List: May 2015
- Times Listed: 16/22
- Percentage: 73%
WR Nico Collins
- Commitment Date: February 1st, 2017
- First on List: November 2015
- Times Listed: 12/22
- Percentage: 55%
WR Oliver Martin
- Commitment Date: January 30th, 2017
- First on List: July 2016
- Times Listed: 6/22
- Percentage: 27%
WR Brad Hawkins
- Re-Commitment Date: October 7th, 2016
- First on (2017) List: November 2016
- Times Listed: 4/5
- Percentage: 80%
OT Chuck Filiaga
- Commitment Date: January 7th, 2017
- First on List: October 2016
- Times Listed: 5/22
- Percentage: 23%
OT JaRaymond Hall
- Commitment Date: December 5th, 2015
- First on List: March 2015
- Times Listed: 22/22
- Percentage: 100%
OL Andrew Stueber
- Commitment Date: June 25th, 2016
- First on List: July 2016
- Times Listed: 9/22
- Percentage: 41%
OL Joel Honigford
- Commitment Date: June 29th, 2016
- First on List: July 2016
- Times Listed: 9/22
- Percentage: 41%
C Cesar Ruiz
- Commitment Date: December 19th, 2016
- First on List: June 2015
- Times Listed: 20/22
- Percentage: 91%
DL/OL Phillip Paea
- Commitment Date: April 4th, 2016
- First on List: March 2016
- Times Listed: 12/22
- Percentage: 55%
DL/OL James Hudson
- Commitment Date: August 8th, 2016
- First on List: May 2016
- Times Listed: 9/22
- Percentage: 41%
DL/OL Deron Irving-Bey
- Commitment Date: December 19th, 2016
- First on List: October 2016
- Times Listed: 3/22
- Percentage: 14%
DT Aubrey Solomon
- Commitment Date: February 1st, 2017
- First on List: June 2016
- Times Listed: 5/22
- Percentage: 23%
DT Donovan Jeter
- Commitment Date: October 24th, 2016
- First on List: October 2016
- Times Listed: 5/22
- Percentage: 23%
DE Corey Malone-Hatcher
- Commitment Date: June 2nd, 2016
- First on List: March 2015
- Times Listed: 22/22
- Percentage: 100%
DE Kwity Paye
- Commitment Date: October 24th, 2016
- First on List: October 2016
- Times Listed: 5/22
- Percentage: 23%
DE Luiji Vilain
- Commitment Date: June 12th, 2016
- First on List: March 2015
- Times Listed: 15/22
- Percentage: 68%
LB Drew Singleton
- Commitment Date: December 23rd, 2016
- First on List: March 2015
- Times Listed: 22/22
- Percentage: 100%
LB Jordan Anthony
- Commitment Date: December 23rd, 2016
- First on List: June 2016
- Times Listed: 9/22
- Percentage: 41%
LB Josh Ross
- Commitment Date: March 22nd, 2016
- First on List: March 2015
- Times Listed: 22/22
- Percentage: 100%
S Jaylen Kelly-Powell
- Commitment Date: November 15th, 2016
- First on List: May 2015
- Times Listed: 20/22
- Percentage: 91%
S J’Marick Woods
- Commitment Date: March 28th, 2016
- First on List: April 2016
- Times Listed: 11/22
- Percentage: 50%
CB Benjamin St-Juste
- Commitment Date: June 23rd, 2015
- First on List: August 2015 (move to 2017 class)
- Times Listed: 17/17
- Percentage: 100%
CB Ambry Thomas
- Commitment Date: December 8th, 2016
- First on List: March 2015
- Times Listed: 21/22
- Percentage: 95%
P Brad Robbins
- Commitment Date: February 1st, 2017
- First on List: January 31st, 2017
- Times Listed: 1/22
- Percentage: 5%

Facts

First List: March 2015
Amount of Lists: 22
Average Percentage:
- 384/638
- 60% (+16% from 2016)
Longest Signees on the List:
- McCaffrey (March 2015)
- Peoples-Jones (March 2015)
- Hall (March 2015)
- Ross (March 2015)
Most Appearances:
- McCaffrey (22/22 – 100%)
- Peoples-Jones (22/22 – 100%)
- Hall (22/22 – 100%)
- Ross (22/22 – 100%)
One Hit Wonder:
- P Brad Robbins (January 31st, 2016)
Best Guess:
- WR Tarik Black (May 2015)
Worst Guess:
- QB Andrew Marty (March 2015 – July 2015)

Photo Credit: Patrick Semansky, Associated Press

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Garrett Fishaw

Marketing Manager and Communications Director by day, Owner and Managing Editor of MGoFish.com by night. Detroit resident. Played soccer and graduated from Seton Hill University.

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